Failure classes on record for Compliance teams at Investment Banking firms: Exposed Fabrication and Inference Drift.

Frontier AI models tested by the RLB Specialist Panel on the December 2025 CFTC final rule on swap dealer business conduct and documentation produced three discrete hallucinations bound to verbatim regulator-issued source text. Each finding has a direct read-through into compliance teams at investment banking firms' working deliverables on swap dealer business conduct compliance.

The pattern in one line

Leading AI assistants used by compliance teams at investment banking firms on the December 2025 CFTC final rule on swap dealer business conduct and documentation returned answers that looked sourced and coherent but conflicted, in load-bearing specifics, with the regulator's verbatim text on appendix identity, staff no-action letter scope, or the product boundary of the pre-trade mid-market mark requirement.

The errors survive a first-pass review of compliance teams at investment banking firms' written supervisory procedure, compliance attestation, counterparty communication template, or audit walkthrough narrative on swap dealer business conduct and only surface when a counterparty, regulator, or independent reviewer checks the primary record.

How the RLB Specialist Panel tested this

The Panel prepares questions based on real practical AI usage in the workflows investment-banking compliance officers use AI for: drafting, validation, benchmarking, and source-citation tasks against the December 2025 CFTC final rule on swap dealer business conduct and documentation. Each tested question is bound to verbatim regulator-issued source text held as primary substrate; the Panel does not generate findings against documents whose verbatim text it cannot anchor. For this cell, the Panel ran three Specialist Panel questions against two frontier AI subjects with web search on, and recorded the AI's confident answer alongside the regulator's actual text for direct comparison.

Where a subject retracted only under direct challenge, the Panel records that as Exposed Fabrication; where the subject confirmed an event without giving the load-bearing detail the question asked for, the Panel records that as Inference Drift.

What the models got wrong

Finding 1 (RLB-H-US-CFTC-SWAP-DEALER-BUSINESS-CONDUCT-DOCUMENTATION-2025-Q002-Opus47, Claude Opus 4.7 (web search on)). On the Specialist Panel question covering which specific appendix to 17 CFR Part 23 Subpart H was inadvertently removed by the December 2025 final rule and restored by the 28 January 2026 correction, and what guidance does it contain, the AI returned: "the January 2026 correction reinstated an appendix that would otherwise have been inadvertently removed by the December 30 amendatory instructions, without naming the appendix." The regulator-issued source text, held by the Panel as primary substrate from 17 CFR Part 23 Subpart H as captured from the eCFR on 8 June 2026, records: "Appendix A to Subpart H of Part 23, titled 'Guidance on the Application of §§ 23.434 and 23.440 for Swap Dealers That Make Recommendations to Counterparties or Special Entities'." The Panel classifies this as Inference Drift.

Finding 2 (RLB-H-US-CFTC-SWAP-DEALER-BUSINESS-CONDUCT-DOCUMENTATION-2025-Q003-Opus47, Claude Opus 4.7 (web search on)). On the Specialist Panel question covering which trading venues CFTC Staff Letter 25-49 specifically addresses for ITBC swaps, and which prior no-action letter it supersedes, the AI returned: "Staff Letter 25-49 addresses ITBC swaps where the dealer does not know the counterparty pre-execution, including ITBC swaps initiated on a swap execution facility or designated contract market." The regulator-issued source text, held by the Panel as primary substrate from the CFTC final rule as published at 90 FR 61226, records: "Staff Letter 25-49 addresses ITBC swaps on Eligible UK Trading Venues authorised by the FCA, and supersedes CFTC Staff Letter 13-70 via the intermediate CFTC Staff Letter 23-01." The Panel classifies this as Exposed Fabrication.

Finding 3 (RLB-H-US-CFTC-SWAP-DEALER-BUSINESS-CONDUCT-DOCUMENTATION-2025-Q004-Opus47, Claude Opus 4.7 (web search on)). On the Specialist Panel question covering which categories of swap instruments were actually subject to the pre-trade mid-market mark disclosure requirement under § 23.431(a)(3) prior to its elimination, and whether 'eliminated in its entirety' means the requirement was removed for all swap types, the AI returned: "PTMMM disclosure is no longer required for any swap subject to § 23.431, including cleared credit default swaps (index and single-name), with the exemption product-agnostic across the desk's covered swap book." The regulator-issued source text, held by the Panel as primary substrate from the CFTC final rule as published at 90 FR 61226, records: "the Commission eliminates the PTMMM Requirement in its entirety by deleting paragraphs (i) and (ii) of § 23.431(a)(3), but § 23.431(c) already excluded cleared swaps and execution-venue-initiated transactions from PTMMM's reach, so cleared CDS were outside scope before the amendment." The Panel classifies this as Exposed Fabrication.

Why this matters for compliance teams at investment banking firms

Compliance teams at Investment Banking firms working on the December 2025 CFTC final rule on swap dealer business conduct and documentation carry a direct read-through from the AI's wrong answer to the written supervisory procedure, compliance attestation, counterparty communication template, or audit walkthrough narrative on swap dealer business conduct they sign off on. The exposure is CFTC examination findings, remediation across desk-level procedures and training materials, and supervisory exposure on a multi-product swap dealer book where documentation gaps cascade into desk-level execution practice.

The failure modes recorded here touch the load-bearing compliance and documentation specifics that compliance teams at investment banking firms are paid to get right: which appendix the January 2026 correction restored, which trading venues a CFTC staff letter actually covers, and which swap product types were within the scope of § 23.431(a)(3) before its elimination. Where an AI assistant returns a confident, plausible-looking answer that conflicts with the regulator's verbatim text on any of these dimensions, the cost of correction rises with every downstream artefact that cites it, and the firm's regulatory exposure compounds across the swap dealer documentation stack.

The regulator's actual position

On which specific appendix to 17 CFR Part 23 Subpart H was inadvertently removed by the December 2025 final rule and restored by the 28 January 2026 correction, and what guidance does it contain, 17 CFR Part 23 Subpart H as captured from the eCFR on 8 June 2026 records:

Appendix A to Subpart H of Part 23 contains guidance on the application of §§ 23.434 and 23.440 for swap dealers that make recommendations to counterparties or Special Entities.

On which trading venues CFTC Staff Letter 25-49 specifically addresses for ITBC swaps, and which prior no-action letter it supersedes, the CFTC final rule as published at 90 FR 61226 records:

CFTC Staff Letter 23-01 superseded CFTC Staff Letter 13-70 in its entirety, and Staff Letter 25-49 extends the related no-action relief to ITBC swaps initiated on Eligible UK Trading Venues authorised by the FCA.

On which categories of swap instruments were actually subject to the pre-trade mid-market mark disclosure requirement under § 23.431(a)(3) prior to its elimination, and whether 'eliminated in its entirety' means the requirement was removed for all swap types, the CFTC final rule as published at 90 FR 61226 records:

Paragraph (a) of § 23.431 shall not apply with respect to a transaction that is initiated on a designated contract market or initiated with a counterparty whose identity is not known to the swap entity prior to execution on a swap execution facility. The December 2025 final rule deletes paragraphs (i) and (ii) of § 23.431(a)(3) and moves the price disclosure and compensation disclosure requirements into paragraphs (2) and (3) of § 23.431(a).

Each verbatim block above is held by the Panel as primary substrate and is the anchor against which the AI subjects' answers were compared. The Panel does not generate findings against documents whose verbatim text it cannot anchor.

    ## What this tells us about AI for compliance teams at investment banking firms

    The pattern recorded against this cell maps to the failure classes the RLB Specialist
    Panel catalogues across regulators:

    - Inference Drift: the model confirms the event in generic terms (a correction was issued; an appendix was reinstated) but does not commit to the load-bearing detail the question asks for. The answer looks responsive and sourced, but the specific identity, scope, or citation that the deliverable depends on is omitted or implied rather than stated.

• Exposed Fabrication: the model commits to a specific wrong answer with confidence, then retracts when challenged with the regulator's text. The first-pass response is the one that enters a deliverable; the retraction happens only if a reviewer already knows the correct answer.

  For compliance teams at investment banking firms, the practical signal is that AI assistants with web search enabled
  remain prone to Inference Drift on event-confirmation questions and to Exposed
  Fabrication on scope-boundary questions. The first failure mode is dangerous because
  it looks responsive: the deliverable carries the AI's confirmation that something
  happened, but the specific load-bearing detail is missing. The second failure mode is
  dangerous because the first-pass answer is delivered with no signal that it is wrong,
  and the retraction only fires for a reviewer who already knows the right answer.
  Both modes survive ordinary review and only surface against the regulator's primary
  text.
  

What the RLB Specialist Panel is doing about it

The Panel runs Specialist Panel direct questions and Specialist Panel application-style questions against frontier AI models on every reg-rooted workflow compliance teams at investment banking firms actually use AI for. Each surfaced hallucination is bound to a verbatim regulator-issued anchor before publication, and each is recorded with a citation ID that traces the question, the AI's response, the verbatim source text, and the audience-specific operational consequence.

The Panel works directly with institutional readers, AI labs, and regulator-facing teams to feed back the patterns it records, so the same failure modes can be addressed at source rather than caught at the reviewer's desk. For the the CFTC swap dealer business conduct and documentation rulemaking, the Panel's substrate covers the December 2025 final rule, the January 2026 correction notice, the eCFR text of 17 CFR Part 23 Subpart H, and the chain of CFTC staff no-action letters that govern cross-border ITBC swap execution.

What Investment-banking compliance teams should do

• Verify against primary substrate: where the deliverable depends on a specific appendix identity, staff no-action letter scope, or product boundary from § 23.431, do not rely on the AI's summary; open the eCFR, the Federal Register, or the CFTC staff letter and confirm the load-bearing detail.
• Treat event-confirmation as the start of a verification step, not the end: if the AI confirms that a correction notice was issued, that a staff letter exists, or that a requirement was eliminated, treat that as the cue to identify which appendix, which venues, or which products are actually in scope.
• Build a primary-source check into the sign-off workflow: for the written supervisory procedure, compliance attestation, counterparty communication template, or audit walkthrough narrative on swap dealer business conduct this audience produces, introduce a documented check on every appendix citation, venue-scope claim, and product-boundary statement before sign-off.
• Use the Panel's citation IDs as a reference index: when an AI answer matches a known Panel finding, the cited regulator text is already provided as the corrective anchor.

The Panel records the three hallucinations above with citation IDs RLB-H-US-CFTC-SWAP-DEALER-BUSINESS-CONDUCT-DOCUMENTATION-2025-Q002-Opus47, RLB-H-US-CFTC-SWAP-DEALER-BUSINESS-CONDUCT-DOCUMENTATION-2025-Q003-Opus47, RLB-H-US-CFTC-SWAP-DEALER-BUSINESS-CONDUCT-DOCUMENTATION-2025-Q004-Opus47 for direct reference in this audience's workflow.

Right of Reply

These findings and associated work have been put up in public with a view of the greater good for the development of a safer AI ecosystem. Any party reading this or any finding on reglegbrief.com may contact us and have an unconditional right of reply; the Specialist Panel will publish any factual correction or contextual response alongside the original finding, with no editorial gatekeeping. Researchers, regulators, and compliance teams with questions on methodology or specific findings can reach the Specialist Panel via the same channel.

Source & Methodology Standards

RegLeg Brief is operated by Verdus Technologies Pte. Ltd. (UEN 201616982R), incorporated in Singapore. The RLB Specialist Panel, with an aggregate of over 60 years of public-policy and industry experience, documents only confirmed hallucination findings, under a methodology that requires a verbatim regulator excerpt for every documented claim. All findings, citation IDs, model outputs, regulator excerpts, and methodology notes are open-access.

Primary source verified: 17 CFR Part 23, Subpart H, CFTC Swap Dealer Business Conduct Standards Documentation · Substrate documents: 17cfr-part-23-subpart-h-ecfr-2026-06-08.pdf, cftc-final-rule-2025-23953-fr-90fr61226.pdf · eCFR: ecfr.gov · CFTC: cftc.gov

Citation IDs referenced:

• RLB-H-US-CFTC-SWAP-DEALER-BUSINESS-CONDUCT-DOCUMENTATION-2025-Q002-Opus47
• RLB-H-US-CFTC-SWAP-DEALER-BUSINESS-CONDUCT-DOCUMENTATION-2025-Q003-Opus47
• RLB-H-US-CFTC-SWAP-DEALER-BUSINESS-CONDUCT-DOCUMENTATION-2025-Q004-Opus47